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Alec Pierce
WRIND#14PUP
75 · 211 lb · Age 26 · 5yr exp · Cincinnati
PPG
12.2
15 GP
TGT/G
5.6
14.3% share
REC/YD
47/1,003
FPTS
183.3
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 84 | 47 | 1,003 | 6 | 14.3% | 2.10 | 12.2 | 183.3 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
2.10
TGT%
14.3%
EPA/TGT
+0.66
TGT
84
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Pierce is producing below the age-26 WR baseline and sits at the historical WR peak.
WRINDAge 26.3
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
26.3
Peak age · WR
26
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
−30 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 84 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
84 avg pct · FPAA +36.5
Snaps86 pct vs WR
813
54.2 / g
↓Tgt / snap 10%
Targets79 pct vs WR
84
5.6 / g
↓Catch rate 56%
Receptions78 pct vs WR
47
3.1 / g
↓Yds / rec 21.3
Receiving Yards91 pct vs WR
1,003
66.9 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
147
9.8 / g
Actual
183
12.2 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+36.5
+2.4 / g
Pierce turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +36.5 pts (≈ +2.4/g) over expectation.
WRIND15 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
5.6
Snaps / G
54
Exp Pts / G
9.8
FPAA / G
+2.4
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
6
7
8
9
10
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes15 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.4
12th vs WR
Median
10.8
12.2 avg
Ceiling
17.9
32nd vs WR
low 0.0high 29.2
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a WR — 13% boom but 33% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
WRIND39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRVolatile
Steadier than 18% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
13%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
33%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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