RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Jeanty is producing below the age-23 RB baseline and sits 1 yr from the historical RB peak.
RBLVAge 22.7
Career phase
Ascending
Value building — production trending toward the positional peak window.
Current age
22.7
Peak age · RB
24
Years to peak
+1
Output vs avg
−19 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 23
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 94 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
94 avg pct · FPAA −21.9
Snaps96 pct vs RB
771
45.4 / g
↓Opp / snap 44%
Opportunities97 pct vs RB
339
19.9 / g
↓Touch rate 95%
Touches96 pct vs RB
321
18.9 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.1
Total Yards88 pct vs RB
1,321
77.7 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
269
15.8 / g
→
Actual
247
14.5 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−21.9
−1.3 / g
Jeanty is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 21.9 pts (≈ −1.3/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
RBLV17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Opp / G
19.9
Snaps / G
45
Exp Pts / G
15.8
FPAA / G
−1.3
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
7.6
43rd vs RB
Median
12.1
14.4 avg
Ceiling
19.2
54th vs RB
low 4.4high 33.5
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 18% boom / 24% bust weeks, steadier than 31% of peers.
RBLV27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 31% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
24%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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