RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Robinson is producing above the age-25 RB baseline and sits 1 yr past the historical RB peak.
RBATLAge 24.5
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
24.5
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−1
Output vs avg
+7 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 25
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 99 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
99 avg pct · FPAA +44.0
Snaps98 pct vs RB
860
50.6 / g
↓Opp / snap 45%
Opportunities99 pct vs RB
390
22.9 / g
↓Touch rate 94%
Touches98 pct vs RB
366
21.5 / g
↓Yds / touch 6.3
Total Yards100 pct vs RB
2,298
135.2 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
331
19.5 / g
→
Actual
375
22.1 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+44.0
+2.6 / g
Robinson turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +44.0 pts (≈ +2.6/g) over expectation.
RBATL17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
22.9
Snaps / G
51
Exp Pts / G
19.5
FPAA / G
+2.6
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
11.6
87th vs RB
Median
21.2
21.8 avg
Ceiling
30.2
87th vs RB
low 5.8high 39.9
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 53% boom / 12% bust weeks, steadier than 69% of peers.
RBATL27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 69% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
53%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
12%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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