RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Hall is producing below the age-25 RB baseline and sits 1 yr past the historical RB peak.
RBNYJAge 25.2
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
25.2
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−1
Output vs avg
−25 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 25
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 90 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, volume-built output
90 avg pct · FPAA +0.8
Snaps87 pct vs RB
640
40.0 / g
↓Opp / snap 45%
Opportunities90 pct vs RB
291
18.2 / g
↓Touch rate 96%
Touches90 pct vs RB
279
17.4 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.1
Total Yards93 pct vs RB
1,415
88.4 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
207
12.9 / g
→
Actual
208
13.0 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+0.8
+0.1 / g
Hall converts opportunity at about the expected rate — production is volume-built, with a slim +0.8-pt efficiency cushion.
RBNYJ16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Volume-driven
Opp / G
18.2
Snaps / G
40
Exp Pts / G
12.9
FPAA / G
+0.1
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.9
35th vs RB
Median
11.6
13.0 avg
Ceiling
17.5
28th vs RB
low 4.3high 32.9
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 13% boom / 31% bust weeks, steadier than 39% of peers.
RBNYJ27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 39% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
13%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
31%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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