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Chase Brown
RBCIN#30Active
70 · 211 lb · Age 26 · 4yr exp · Illinois; Western Michigan
PPG
16.6
17 GP
YPC
4.4
232 car
TD
11
TGT
88
14.5%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 232 | 1,019 | 6 | 88 | 69 | 437 | 16.6 | 282.6 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
-0.02
EPA/TGT
-0.02
TGT%
14.5%
CAR
232
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Brown is producing above the age-26 RB baseline and sits 2 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBCINAge 26.4
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
26.4
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−2
Output vs avg
+11 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 94 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
94 avg pct · FPAA −4.0
Snaps94 pct vs RB
738
43.4 / g
↓Opp / snap 43%
Opportunities93 pct vs RB
320
18.8 / g
↓Touch rate 94%
Touches93 pct vs RB
301
17.7 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.8
Total Yards94 pct vs RB
1,456
85.6 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
282
16.6 / g
Actual
278
16.4 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−4.0
−0.2 / g
Brown is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 4.0 pts (≈ −0.2/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
RBCIN17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Opp / G
18.8
Snaps / G
43
Exp Pts / G
16.6
FPAA / G
−0.2
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
10.4
80th vs RB
Median
16.0
16.6 avg
Ceiling
19.2
48th vs RB
low 6.0high 32.9
Steady floor play
Steadier than 81% of RBs — a dependable weekly floor (6% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
RBCIN27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBSteady
Steadier than 81% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
6%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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