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Courtland Sutton
WRDEN#14Active
76 · 216 lb · Age 30 · 9yr exp · SMU
PPG
12.9
17 GP
TGT/G
7.3
21.8% share
REC/YD
74/1,017
FPTS
219.7
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 124 | 74 | 1,017 | 7 | 21.8% | – | 12.9 | 219.7 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
–
TGT%
21.8%
EPA/TGT
+0.37
TGT
124
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Sutton is producing above the age-31 WR baseline and sits 5 yrs past the historical WR peak.
WRDENAge 30.8
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
30.8
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−5
Output vs avg
+12 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 31
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 96 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
96 avg pct · FPAA +14.0
Snaps100 pct vs WR
1,090
64.1 / g
↓Tgt / snap 11%
Targets95 pct vs WR
124
7.3 / g
↓Catch rate 60%
Receptions92 pct vs WR
74
4.4 / g
↓Yds / rec 13.7
Receiving Yards95 pct vs WR
1,017
59.8 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
204
12.0 / g
Actual
218
12.8 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+14.0
+0.8 / g
Sutton turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +14.0 pts (≈ +0.8/g) over expectation.
WRDEN17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
7.3
Snaps / G
64
Exp Pts / G
12.0
FPAA / G
+0.8
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.9
40th vs WR
Median
12.2
12.9 avg
Ceiling
18.9
47th vs WR
low 1.5high 24.3
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a WR — 18% boom / 24% bust weeks, steadier than 47% of peers.
WRDEN39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRBalanced
Steadier than 47% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
24%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Matchup Grade
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Dynasty Value
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