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Dallas Goedert
TEPHI#88Active
77 · 256 lb · Age 31 · 9yr exp · South Dakota State
PPG
12.3
15 GP
TGT/G
5.5
16.3% share
REC/YD
60/591
FPTS
185.1
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 82 | 60 | 591 | 11 | 16.3% | 1.29 | 12.3 | 185.1 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
1.29
TGT%
16.3%
EPA/TGT
+0.44
TGT
82
Age CurvePeak age 27
TE · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Goedert is producing above the age-32 TE baseline and sits 5 yrs past the historical TE peak.
TEPHIAge 31.6
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
31.6
Peak age · TE
27
Years past peak
−5
Output vs avg
+29 idx
Lifecycle map · TECurrent Age 32
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 90 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
90 avg pct · FPAA +39.1
Snaps91 pct vs TE
854
56.9 / g
↓Tgt / snap 10%
Targets90 pct vs TE
82
5.5 / g
↓Catch rate 73%
Receptions91 pct vs TE
60
4.0 / g
↓Yds / rec 9.8
Receiving Yards88 pct vs TE
591
39.4 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
146
9.7 / g
Actual
185
12.3 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+39.1
+2.6 / g
Goedert turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +39.1 pts (≈ +2.6/g) over expectation.
TEPHI15 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
5.5
Snaps / G
57
Exp Pts / G
9.7
FPAA / G
+2.6
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes15 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.8
12th vs TE
Median
10.9
12.3 avg
Ceiling
18.2
88th vs TE
low 4.0high 26.0
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a TE — 33% boom / 27% bust weeks, steadier than 50% of peers.
TEPHI13 TE pool
Steadiness vs TEBalanced
Steadier than 50% of qualified TEs
Boom rate
33%
weeks ≥ 15
Bust rate
27%
weeks ≤ 5
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 15bust ≤ 5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Matchup Grade
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Injury History
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Dynasty Value
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