TE · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Schultz is producing above the age-30 TE baseline and sits 3 yrs past the historical TE peak.
TEHOUAge 30.1
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
30.1
Peak age · TE
27
Years past peak
−3
Output vs avg
+0 idx
Lifecycle map · TECurrent Age 30
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 95 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, volume-built output
95 avg pct · FPAA +3.7
Snaps94 pct vs TE
893
52.5 / g
↓Tgt / snap 12%
Targets95 pct vs TE
106
6.2 / g
↓Catch rate 77%
Receptions97 pct vs TE
82
4.8 / g
↓Yds / rec 9.5
Receiving Yards95 pct vs TE
777
45.7 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
174
10.2 / g
→
Actual
178
10.5 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+3.7
+0.2 / g
Schultz converts opportunity at about the expected rate — production is volume-built, with a slim +3.7-pt efficiency cushion.
TEHOU17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Volume-driven
Tgt / G
6.2
Snaps / G
53
Exp Pts / G
10.2
FPAA / G
+0.2
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.3
27th vs TE
Median
11.0
10.5 avg
Ceiling
14.3
12th vs TE
low 1.8high 21.6
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a TE — 18% boom / 18% bust weeks, steadier than 67% of peers.
TEHOU13 TE pool
Steadiness vs TEBalanced
Steadier than 67% of qualified TEs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 15
Bust rate
18%
weeks ≤ 5
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 15bust ≤ 5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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