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Derrick Henry
RBBAL#22Active
75 · 252 lb · Age 32 · 11yr exp · Alabama
PPG
16.4
17 GP
YPC
5.2
307 car
TD
16
TGT
21
5.1%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 307 | 1,595 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 150 | 16.4 | 279.5 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
+0.03
EPA/TGT
+0.03
TGT%
5.1%
CAR
307
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Henry is producing above the age-33 RB baseline and sits 9 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBBALAge 32.6
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
32.6
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−9
Output vs avg
+76 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 33
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 92 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
92 avg pct · FPAA +47.1
Snaps82 pct vs RB
555
32.6 / g
↓Opp / snap 59%
Opportunities94 pct vs RB
328
19.3 / g
↓Touch rate 98%
Touches97 pct vs RB
322
18.9 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.4
Total Yards95 pct vs RB
1,745
102.6 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
238
14.0 / g
Actual
286
16.8 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+47.1
+2.8 / g
Henry turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +47.1 pts (≈ +2.8/g) over expectation.
RBBAL17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
19.3
Snaps / G
33
Exp Pts / G
14.0
FPAA / G
+2.8
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
10.1
69th vs RB
Median
13.1
16.4 avg
Ceiling
22.3
80th vs RB
low 2.3high 45.6
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a RB — 29% boom but 12% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
RBBAL27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBVolatile
Steadier than 27% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
29%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
12%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Matchup Grade
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Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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