Loading…
DeVonta Smith
WRPHI#6Active
72 · 170 lb · Age 27 · 6yr exp · Alabama
PPG
11.9
17 GP
TGT/G
6.6
22.5% share
REC/YD
77/1,008
FPTS
201.8
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 113 | 77 | 1,008 | 4 | 22.5% | 1.94 | 11.9 | 201.8 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
1.94
TGT%
22.5%
EPA/TGT
+0.48
TGT
113
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Smith is producing below the age-28 WR baseline and sits 2 yrs past the historical WR peak.
WRPHIAge 27.7
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
27.7
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−2
Output vs avg
−25 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 28
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 93 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
93 avg pct · FPAA +16.6
Snaps96 pct vs WR
955
56.2 / g
↓Tgt / snap 12%
Targets91 pct vs WR
113
6.6 / g
↓Catch rate 68%
Receptions93 pct vs WR
77
4.5 / g
↓Yds / rec 13.1
Receiving Yards93 pct vs WR
1,008
59.3 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
185
10.9 / g
Actual
202
11.9 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+16.6
+1.0 / g
Smith turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +16.6 pts (≈ +1.0/g) over expectation.
WRPHI17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
6.6
Snaps / G
56
Exp Pts / G
10.9
FPAA / G
+1.0
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.3
29th vs WR
Median
9.3
11.9 avg
Ceiling
16.8
22nd vs WR
low 1.8high 33.3
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a WR — 12% boom but 35% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
WRPHI39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRVolatile
Steadier than 26% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
12%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
35%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
Sign in for the full readTape Room
Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
Analyst Read
AI-powered one-page read: role, trend, risk, and verdict.
3 full profiles free. No card required.
Get full access to Tape Room, projections, matchup grades, trade value, injury history, and the AI analyst read for DeVonta Smith and every other player in the database.
Sign in free3 free profiles · No credit card · Cancel anytime