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DK Metcalf
WRPIT#4Active
76 · 229 lb · Age 28 · 8yr exp · Mississippi
PPG
12.5
15 GP
TGT/G
6.6
20.4% share
REC/YD
59/850
FPTS
187.2
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 99 | 59 | 850 | 6 | 20.4% | 1.79 | 12.5 | 187.2 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
1.79
TGT%
20.4%
EPA/TGT
+0.33
TGT
99
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Metcalf is producing below the age-29 WR baseline and sits 3 yrs past the historical WR peak.
WRPITAge 28.6
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
28.6
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−3
Output vs avg
−15 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 29
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 87 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
87 avg pct · FPAA +16.2
Snaps87 pct vs WR
825
55.0 / g
↓Tgt / snap 12%
Targets86 pct vs WR
99
6.6 / g
↓Catch rate 60%
Receptions85 pct vs WR
59
3.9 / g
↓Yds / rec 14.4
Receiving Yards89 pct vs WR
850
56.7 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
171
11.4 / g
Actual
187
12.5 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+16.2
+1.1 / g
Metcalf turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +16.2 pts (≈ +1.1/g) over expectation.
WRPIT15 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
6.6
Snaps / G
55
Exp Pts / G
11.4
FPAA / G
+1.1
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes15 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
7.7
65th vs WR
Median
12.2
12.5 avg
Ceiling
17.1
24th vs WR
low 2.6high 23.6
Steady floor play
Steadier than 82% of WRs — a dependable weekly floor (20% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
WRPIT39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRSteady
Steadier than 82% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
13%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
20%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
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Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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