WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Meyers is producing below the age-30 WR baseline and sits 4 yrs past the historical WR peak.
WRJAXAge 29.7
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
29.7
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−4
Output vs avg
−11 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 30
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 91 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
91 avg pct · FPAA −9.9
Snaps94 pct vs WR
926
57.9 / g
↓Tgt / snap 12%
Targets90 pct vs WR
110
6.9 / g
↓Catch rate 68%
Receptions92 pct vs WR
75
4.7 / g
↓Yds / rec 11.1
Receiving Yards88 pct vs WR
835
52.2 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
188
11.7 / g
→
Actual
178
11.1 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−9.9
−0.6 / g
Meyers is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 9.9 pts (≈ −0.6/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
WRLV16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Tgt / G
6.9
Snaps / G
58
Exp Pts / G
11.7
FPAA / G
−0.6
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
7.2
60th vs WR
Median
9.4
11.0 avg
Ceiling
14.8
9th vs WR
low 6.3high 21.3
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a WR — 6% boom / 38% bust weeks, steadier than 95% of peers.
WRJAX39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRBalanced
Steadier than 95% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
6%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
38%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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