RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Cook is producing above the age-27 RB baseline and sits 3 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBBUFAge 26.9
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
26.9
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−3
Output vs avg
+25 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 27
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 97 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
97 avg pct · FPAA +55.0
Snaps93 pct vs RB
727
42.8 / g
↓Opp / snap 48%
Opportunities98 pct vs RB
349
20.5 / g
↓Touch rate 98%
Touches98 pct vs RB
342
20.1 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.6
Total Yards98 pct vs RB
1,912
112.5 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
253
14.9 / g
→
Actual
308
18.1 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+55.0
+3.2 / g
Cook turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +55.0 pts (≈ +3.2/g) over expectation.
RBBUF17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
20.5
Snaps / G
43
Exp Pts / G
14.9
FPAA / G
+3.2
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
9.1
65th vs RB
Median
20.4
17.8 avg
Ceiling
25.6
83rd vs RB
low 1.5high 33.6
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 53% boom / 12% bust weeks, steadier than 58% of peers.
RBBUF27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 58% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
53%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
12%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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