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Javonte Williams
RBDAL#33Active
70 · 220 lb · Age 26 · 6yr exp · North Carolina
PPG
15.2
16 GP
YPC
4.8
252 car
TD
13
TGT
51
8.3%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 252 | 1,201 | 11 | 51 | 35 | 137 | 15.2 | 242.8 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
+0.05
EPA/TGT
+0.05
TGT%
8.3%
CAR
252
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Williams is producing above the age-26 RB baseline and sits 2 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBDALAge 26.3
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
26.3
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−2
Output vs avg
+2 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 91 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
91 avg pct · FPAA −8.5
Snaps95 pct vs RB
769
48.1 / g
↓Opp / snap 39%
Opportunities90 pct vs RB
303
18.9 / g
↓Touch rate 95%
Touches90 pct vs RB
287
17.9 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.7
Total Yards89 pct vs RB
1,338
83.6 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
255
16.0 / g
Actual
247
15.4 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−8.5
−0.5 / g
Williams is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 8.5 pts (≈ −0.5/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
RBDAL16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Opp / G
18.9
Snaps / G
48
Exp Pts / G
16.0
FPAA / G
−0.5
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
10.3
76th vs RB
Median
14.9
15.2 avg
Ceiling
19.0
43rd vs RB
low 6.3high 26.9
Steady floor play
Steadier than 89% of RBs — a dependable weekly floor (13% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
RBDAL27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBSteady
Steadier than 89% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
19%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
13%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
Analyst Read
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