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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WRSEA#11Active
72 · 197 lb · Age 24 · 4yr exp · Ohio State
PPG
21.2
17 GP
TGT/G
9.6
38.0% share
REC/YD
119/1,793
FPTS
359.9
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 163 | 119 | 1,793 | 10 | 38.0% | 3.46 | 21.2 | 359.9 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
3.46
TGT%
38.0%
EPA/TGT
+0.56
TGT
163
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Smith-Njigba is producing above the age-25 WR baseline and sits 1 yr from the historical WR peak.
WRSEAAge 24.5
Career phase
Ascending
Value building — production trending toward the positional peak window.
Current age
24.5
Peak age · WR
26
Years to peak
+1
Output vs avg
+12 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 25
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 99 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
99 avg pct · FPAA +87.2
Snaps97 pct vs WR
972
57.2 / g
↓Tgt / snap 17%
Targets99 pct vs WR
163
9.6 / g
↓Catch rate 73%
Receptions99 pct vs WR
119
7.0 / g
↓Yds / rec 15.1
Receiving Yards100 pct vs WR
1,793
105.5 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
275
16.2 / g
Actual
362
21.3 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+87.2
+5.1 / g
Smith-Njigba turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +87.2 pts (≈ +5.1/g) over expectation.
WRSEA17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
9.6
Snaps / G
57
Exp Pts / G
16.2
FPAA / G
+5.1
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
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3
4
5
6
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10
11
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15
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18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
16.6
99th vs WR
Median
20.6
21.2 avg
Ceiling
27.0
94th vs WR
low 4.3high 37.1
Steady floor play
Steadier than 100% of WRs — a dependable weekly floor (6% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
WRSEA39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRSteady
Steadier than 100% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
59%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
6%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
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Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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