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Jaylen Warren
RBPIT#30Active
68 · 215 lb · Age 27 · 5yr exp · Oklahoma State
PPG
13.6
16 GP
YPC
4.5
211 car
TD
8
TGT
45
9.3%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 211 | 958 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 333 | 13.6 | 217.1 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
-0.00
EPA/TGT
-0.00
TGT%
9.3%
CAR
211
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Warren is producing above the age-28 RB baseline and sits 4 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBPITAge 27.8
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
27.8
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−4
Output vs avg
+22 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 28
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 83 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
83 avg pct · FPAA +9.4
Snaps77 pct vs RB
515
32.2 / g
↓Opp / snap 50%
Opportunities84 pct vs RB
256
16.0 / g
↓Touch rate 98%
Touches84 pct vs RB
251
15.7 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.1
Total Yards87 pct vs RB
1,291
80.7 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
208
13.0 / g
Actual
217
13.6 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+9.4
+0.6 / g
Warren turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +9.4 pts (≈ +0.6/g) over expectation.
RBPIT16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
16.0
Snaps / G
32
Exp Pts / G
13.0
FPAA / G
+0.6
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
8.7
48th vs RB
Median
13.0
13.6 avg
Ceiling
16.9
20th vs RB
low 6.4high 29.1
Steady floor play
Steadier than 85% of RBs — a dependable weekly floor (13% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
RBPIT27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBSteady
Steadier than 85% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
6%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
13%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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