RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Taylor is producing above the age-28 RB baseline and sits 4 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBINDAge 27.5
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
27.5
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−4
Output vs avg
+52 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 28
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 98 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
98 avg pct · FPAA +66.2
Snaps98 pct vs RB
883
51.9 / g
↓Opp / snap 43%
Opportunities98 pct vs RB
378
22.2 / g
↓Touch rate 98%
Touches99 pct vs RB
369
21.7 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.3
Total Yards98 pct vs RB
1,963
115.5 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
296
17.4 / g
→
Actual
363
21.3 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+66.2
+3.9 / g
Taylor turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +66.2 pts (≈ +3.9/g) over expectation.
RBIND17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
22.2
Snaps / G
52
Exp Pts / G
17.4
FPAA / G
+3.9
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
11.7
91st vs RB
Median
16.9
21.3 avg
Ceiling
32.6
94th vs RB
low 5.9high 49.6
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 41% boom / 12% bust weeks, steadier than 42% of peers.
RBIND27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 42% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
41%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
12%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
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2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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