RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Jacobs is producing above the age-29 RB baseline and sits 5 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBGBAge 28.5
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
28.5
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−5
Output vs avg
+44 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 29
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 86 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
86 avg pct · FPAA +17.1
Snaps85 pct vs RB
599
39.9 / g
↓Opp / snap 46%
Opportunities87 pct vs RB
278
18.5 / g
↓Touch rate 97%
Touches87 pct vs RB
270
18.0 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.5
Total Yards85 pct vs RB
1,211
80.7 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
224
14.9 / g
→
Actual
241
16.1 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+17.1
+1.1 / g
Jacobs turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +17.1 pts (≈ +1.1/g) over expectation.
RBGB15 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
18.5
Snaps / G
40
Exp Pts / G
14.9
FPAA / G
+1.1
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes15 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
9.0
61st vs RB
Median
14.4
15.8 avg
Ceiling
20.6
61st vs RB
low 1.3high 32.0
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 27% boom / 20% bust weeks, steadier than 50% of peers.
RBGB27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 50% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
27%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
20%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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