WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
McConkey is producing below the age-25 WR baseline and sits 1 yr from the historical WR peak.
WRLACAge 24.7
Career phase
Ascending
Value building — production trending toward the positional peak window.
Current age
24.7
Peak age · WR
26
Years to peak
+1
Output vs avg
−30 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 25
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 89 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, volume-built output
89 avg pct · FPAA +1.9
Snaps90 pct vs WR
890
55.6 / g
↓Tgt / snap 12%
Targets89 pct vs WR
106
6.6 / g
↓Catch rate 62%
Receptions89 pct vs WR
66
4.1 / g
↓Yds / rec 12.0
Receiving Yards87 pct vs WR
789
49.3 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
179
11.2 / g
→
Actual
181
11.3 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+1.9
+0.1 / g
McConkey converts opportunity at about the expected rate — production is volume-built, with a slim +1.9-pt efficiency cushion.
WRLAC16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Volume-driven
Tgt / G
6.6
Snaps / G
56
Exp Pts / G
11.2
FPAA / G
+0.1
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.1
8th vs WR
Median
11.6
11.3 avg
Ceiling
15.7
12th vs WR
low 2.1high 23.0
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a WR — 19% boom / 31% bust weeks, steadier than 40% of peers.
WRLAC39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRBalanced
Steadier than 40% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
19%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
31%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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