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Michael Wilson
WRARI#14Active
74 · 213 lb · Age 26 · 4yr exp · Stanford
PPG
13.0
17 GP
TGT/G
7.4
20.7% share
REC/YD
78/1,006
FPTS
220.6
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 126 | 78 | 1,006 | 7 | 20.7% | – | 13.0 | 220.6 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
–
TGT%
20.7%
EPA/TGT
+0.20
TGT
126
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Wilson is producing below the age-26 WR baseline and sits at the historical WR peak.
WRARIAge 26.4
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
26.4
Peak age · WR
26
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
−25 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 94 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
94 avg pct · FPAA +13.3
Snaps94 pct vs WR
923
54.3 / g
↓Tgt / snap 14%
Targets96 pct vs WR
126
7.4 / g
↓Catch rate 62%
Receptions94 pct vs WR
78
4.6 / g
↓Yds / rec 12.9
Receiving Yards92 pct vs WR
1,006
59.2 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
207
12.2 / g
Actual
221
13.0 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+13.3
+0.8 / g
Wilson turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +13.3 pts (≈ +0.8/g) over expectation.
WRARI17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
7.4
Snaps / G
54
Exp Pts / G
12.2
FPAA / G
+0.8
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.9
22nd vs WR
Median
8.4
13.0 avg
Ceiling
20.7
73rd vs WR
low 1.5high 37.2
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a WR — 24% boom but 41% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
WRARI39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRVolatile
Steadier than 0% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
24%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
41%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
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2
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17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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