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Nico Collins
WRHOU#12Active
76 · 222 lb · Age 27 · 6yr exp · Michigan
PPG
15.1
15 GP
TGT/G
8.0
21.6% share
REC/YD
71/1,117
FPTS
226.2
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 120 | 71 | 1,117 | 6 | 21.6% | 2.24 | 15.1 | 226.2 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
2.24
TGT%
21.6%
EPA/TGT
+0.33
TGT
120
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Collins is producing below the age-27 WR baseline and sits 1 yr past the historical WR peak.
WRHOUAge 27.4
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
27.4
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−1
Output vs avg
−10 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 27
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 91 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
91 avg pct · FPAA +14.6
Snaps86 pct vs WR
816
54.4 / g
↓Tgt / snap 15%
Targets93 pct vs WR
120
8.0 / g
↓Catch rate 59%
Receptions90 pct vs WR
71
4.7 / g
↓Yds / rec 15.7
Receiving Yards96 pct vs WR
1,117
74.5 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
212
14.1 / g
Actual
226
15.1 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+14.6
+1.0 / g
Collins turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +14.6 pts (≈ +1.0/g) over expectation.
WRHOU15 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
8.0
Snaps / G
54
Exp Pts / G
14.1
FPAA / G
+1.0
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes15 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
8.7
78th vs WR
Median
14.5
15.1 avg
Ceiling
22.4
78th vs WR
low 5.5high 24.2
Steady floor play
Steadier than 90% of WRs — a dependable weekly floor (13% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
WRHOU39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRSteady
Steadier than 90% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
33%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
13%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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