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Puka Nacua
WRLA#12Active
74 · 212 lb · Age 25 · 4yr exp · BYU; Washington
PPG
23.4
16 GP
TGT/G
10.4
28.6% share
REC/YD
129/1,715
FPTS
375.0
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 166 | 129 | 1,715 | 10 | 28.6% | 3.52 | 23.4 | 375.0 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
3.52
TGT%
28.6%
EPA/TGT
+0.70
TGT
166
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Nacua is producing above the age-25 WR baseline and sits 1 yr from the historical WR peak.
WRLAAge 25.2
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
25.2
Peak age · WR
26
Years to peak
+1
Output vs avg
+8 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 25
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 98 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
98 avg pct · FPAA +84.3
Snaps91 pct vs WR
905
56.6 / g
↓Tgt / snap 18%
Targets99 pct vs WR
166
10.4 / g
↓Catch rate 78%
Receptions100 pct vs WR
129
8.1 / g
↓Yds / rec 13.3
Receiving Yards100 pct vs WR
1,715
107.2 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
293
18.3 / g
Actual
377
23.6 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+84.3
+5.3 / g
Nacua turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +84.3 pts (≈ +5.3/g) over expectation.
WRLA16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
10.4
Snaps / G
57
Exp Pts / G
18.3
FPAA / G
+5.3
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
15.7
96th vs WR
Median
23.0
23.4 avg
Ceiling
27.9
96th vs WR
low 4.8high 46.5
Steady floor play
Steadier than 87% of WRs — a dependable weekly floor (6% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
WRLA39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRSteady
Steadier than 87% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
63%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
6%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
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2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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