RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Judkins is producing below the age-23 RB baseline and sits 1 yr from the historical RB peak.
RBCLEAge 22.8
Career phase
Ascending
Value building — production trending toward the positional peak window.
Current age
22.8
Peak age · RB
24
Years to peak
+1
Output vs avg
−30 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 23
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 82 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
82 avg pct · FPAA −25.3
Snaps74 pct vs RB
452
32.3 / g
↓Opp / snap 59%
Opportunities86 pct vs RB
266
19.0 / g
↓Touch rate 96%
Touches86 pct vs RB
256
18.3 / g
↓Yds / touch 3.9
Total Yards82 pct vs RB
998
71.3 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
193
13.8 / g
→
Actual
168
12.0 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−25.3
−1.8 / g
Judkins is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 25.3 pts (≈ −1.8/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
RBCLE14 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Opp / G
19.0
Snaps / G
32
Exp Pts / G
13.8
FPAA / G
−1.8
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes14 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.4
17th vs RB
Median
10.3
12.1 avg
Ceiling
16.6
17th vs RB
low 3.6high 26.4
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 14% boom / 29% bust weeks, steadier than 54% of peers.
RBCLE27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 54% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
14%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
29%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
Sign in for the full read
Tape Room
Tape Room
Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Get full access to Tape Room, projections, matchup grades, trade value, injury history, and the AI analyst read for Quinshon Judkins and every other player in the database.