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Rico Dowdle
RBPITActive
72 · 215 lb · Age 28 · 7yr exp · South Carolina
PPG
12.7
17 GP
YPC
4.6
236 car
TD
7
TGT
50
10.4%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 236 | 1,076 | 6 | 50 | 39 | 297 | 12.7 | 216.3 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
-0.01
EPA/TGT
-0.01
TGT%
10.4%
CAR
236
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Dowdle is producing above the age-28 RB baseline and sits 4 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBPITAge 28.1
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
28.1
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−4
Output vs avg
+23 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 28
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 88 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, volume-built output
88 avg pct · FPAA +7.3
Snaps86 pct vs RB
615
36.2 / g
↓Opp / snap 47%
Opportunities89 pct vs RB
286
16.8 / g
↓Touch rate 96%
Touches88 pct vs RB
275
16.2 / g
↓Yds / touch 5.0
Total Yards90 pct vs RB
1,373
80.8 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
211
12.4 / g
Actual
218
12.8 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+7.3
+0.4 / g
Dowdle converts opportunity at about the expected rate — production is volume-built, with a slim +7.3-pt efficiency cushion.
RBCAR17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Volume-driven
Opp / G
16.8
Snaps / G
36
Exp Pts / G
12.4
FPAA / G
+0.4
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.3
2nd vs RB
Median
10.6
12.7 avg
Ceiling
15.2
6th vs RB
low 2.9high 33.9
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a RB — 18% boom but 29% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
RBPIT27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBVolatile
Steadier than 8% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
29%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Projections
Week-by-week fantasy point projections with scenario modeling.
Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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