WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Doubs is producing below the age-26 WR baseline and sits at the historical WR peak.
WRNEAge 26.3
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
26.3
Peak age · WR
26
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
−39 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 83 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
83 avg pct · FPAA +13.5
Snaps87 pct vs WR
832
52.0 / g
↓Tgt / snap 10%
Targets80 pct vs WR
85
5.3 / g
↓Catch rate 65%
Receptions82 pct vs WR
55
3.4 / g
↓Yds / rec 13.2
Receiving Yards84 pct vs WR
724
45.3 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
150
9.4 / g
→
Actual
163
10.2 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+13.5
+0.8 / g
Doubs turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +13.5 pts (≈ +0.8/g) over expectation.
WRGB16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
5.3
Snaps / G
52
Exp Pts / G
9.4
FPAA / G
+0.8
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
4.5
14th vs WR
Median
9.4
10.3 avg
Ceiling
13.2
1st vs WR
low 0.0high 29.8
Boom-or-bust
High week-to-week swing for a WR — 6% boom but 31% bust weeks. A ceiling/leverage play, not a safe floor.
WRNE39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRVolatile
Steadier than 13% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
6%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
31%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
Sign in for the full read
Tape Room
Tape Room
Advanced route analysis, snap-share trends, and usage patterns.
Get full access to Tape Room, projections, matchup grades, trade value, injury history, and the AI analyst read for Romeo Doubs and every other player in the database.