WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Diggs is producing above the age-33 WR baseline and sits 7 yrs past the historical WR peak.
WRNEAge 32.7
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
32.7
Peak age · WR
26
Years past peak
−7
Output vs avg
+31 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 33
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 89 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
89 avg pct · FPAA +39.8
Snaps80 pct vs WR
738
43.4 / g
↓Tgt / snap 14%
Targets87 pct vs WR
102
6.0 / g
↓Catch rate 83%
Receptions96 pct vs WR
85
5.0 / g
↓Yds / rec 11.9
Receiving Yards93 pct vs WR
1,013
59.6 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
171
10.0 / g
→
Actual
210
12.4 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+39.8
+2.3 / g
Diggs turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +39.8 pts (≈ +2.3/g) over expectation.
WRNE17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
6.0
Snaps / G
43
Exp Pts / G
10.0
FPAA / G
+2.3
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.6
35th vs WR
Median
11.7
12.4 avg
Ceiling
18.8
45th vs WR
low 4.0high 24.6
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a WR — 18% boom / 41% bust weeks, steadier than 68% of peers.
WRNE39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRBalanced
Steadier than 68% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
41%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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