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Tony Pollard
RBTEN#20Active
72 · 209 lb · Age 29 · 8yr exp · Memphis
PPG
10.9
17 GP
YPC
4.5
242 car
TD
5
TGT
41
7.3%
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | CAR | RU YD | RU TD | TGT | REC | REC YD | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 242 | 1,082 | 5 | 41 | 33 | 206 | 10.9 | 185.8 |
Advanced Metrics
EPA/RU
-0.09
EPA/TGT
-0.09
TGT%
7.3%
CAR
242
Age CurvePeak age 24
RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Pollard is producing above the age-29 RB baseline and sits 5 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBTENAge 29.3
Career phase
Late decline
Sustained decay vs the positional baseline — replacement risk elevated.
Current age
29.3
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−5
Output vs avg
+32 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 29
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 88 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
88 avg pct · FPAA −3.1
Snaps88 pct vs RB
657
38.6 / g
↓Opp / snap 43%
Opportunities88 pct vs RB
283
16.6 / g
↓Touch rate 97%
Touches88 pct vs RB
275
16.2 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.7
Total Yards86 pct vs RB
1,288
75.8 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
195
11.5 / g
Actual
192
11.3 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−3.1
−0.2 / g
Pollard is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 3.1 pts (≈ −0.2/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
RBTEN17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Opp / G
16.6
Snaps / G
39
Exp Pts / G
11.5
FPAA / G
−0.2
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
6.9
39th vs RB
Median
9.5
10.9 avg
Ceiling
13.5
2nd vs RB
low 5.3high 28.1
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 6% boom / 35% bust weeks, steadier than 62% of peers.
RBTEN27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 62% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
6%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
35%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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