RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Etienne is producing above the age-28 RB baseline and sits 4 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBNOAge 27.5
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
27.5
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−4
Output vs avg
+23 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 28
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 92 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
92 avg pct · FPAA +14.5
Snaps92 pct vs RB
721
42.4 / g
↓Opp / snap 43%
Opportunities92 pct vs RB
312
18.4 / g
↓Touch rate 95%
Touches92 pct vs RB
296
17.4 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.7
Total Yards91 pct vs RB
1,399
82.3 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
240
14.1 / g
→
Actual
254
14.9 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+14.5
+0.9 / g
Etienne turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +14.5 pts (≈ +0.9/g) over expectation.
RBJAX17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Opp / G
18.4
Snaps / G
42
Exp Pts / G
14.1
FPAA / G
+0.9
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
8.9
54th vs RB
Median
16.5
14.9 avg
Ceiling
19.5
57th vs RB
low 4.8high 31.5
Steady floor play
Steadier than 77% of RBs — a dependable weekly floor (18% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
RBNO27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBSteady
Steadier than 77% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
18%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
18%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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