TE · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
McBride is producing above the age-27 TE baseline and sits at the historical TE peak.
TEARIAge 26.7
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
26.7
Peak age · TE
27
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
+8 idx
Lifecycle map · TECurrent Age 27
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 100 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
100 avg pct · FPAA +34.7
Snaps99 pct vs TE
1,033
60.8 / g
↓Tgt / snap 16%
Targets100 pct vs TE
169
9.9 / g
↓Catch rate 75%
Receptions100 pct vs TE
126
7.4 / g
↓Yds / rec 9.8
Receiving Yards100 pct vs TE
1,239
72.9 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
281
16.5 / g
→
Actual
316
18.6 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+34.7
+2.0 / g
McBride turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +34.7 pts (≈ +2.0/g) over expectation.
TEARI17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
9.9
Snaps / G
61
Exp Pts / G
16.5
FPAA / G
+2.0
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
12.1
96th vs TE
Median
16.5
18.6 avg
Ceiling
26.7
96th vs TE
low 6.7high 37.4
Steady floor play
Steadier than 92% of TEs — a dependable weekly floor (0% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
TEARI13 TE pool
Steadiness vs TESteady
Steadier than 92% of qualified TEs
Boom rate
59%
weeks ≥ 15
Bust rate
0%
weeks ≤ 5
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 15bust ≤ 5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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