WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Robinson is producing below the age-26 WR baseline and sits at the historical WR peak.
WRTENAge 25.6
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
25.6
Peak age · WR
26
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
−22 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 97 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, efficiency leak
97 avg pct · FPAA −9.1
Snaps98 pct vs WR
973
60.8 / g
↓Tgt / snap 14%
Targets97 pct vs WR
140
8.8 / g
↓Catch rate 66%
Receptions97 pct vs WR
92
5.8 / g
↓Yds / rec 11.0
Receiving Yards94 pct vs WR
1,014
63.4 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
227
14.2 / g
→
Actual
218
13.6 / g
FPAA · act − exp
−9.1
−0.6 / g
Robinson is leaving points on the table: actual trails expected by 9.1 pts (≈ −0.6/g). The opportunity is there; the efficiency is the leak.
WRNYG16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Efficiency leak
Tgt / G
8.8
Snaps / G
61
Exp Pts / G
14.2
FPAA / G
−0.6
Role trend · opp / wk↑ rising
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
16
17
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
7.6
63rd vs WR
Median
11.9
13.6 avg
Ceiling
20.4
71st vs WR
low 3.6high 30.6
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a WR — 25% boom / 31% bust weeks, steadier than 42% of peers.
WRTEN39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRBalanced
Steadier than 42% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
25%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
31%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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