RB · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Charbonnet is producing below the age-26 RB baseline and sits 2 yrs past the historical RB peak.
RBSEAAge 25.6
Career phase
Early decline
Easing off peak — watch efficiency and snap-share retention.
Current age
25.6
Peak age · RB
24
Years past peak
−2
Output vs avg
−28 idx
Lifecycle map · RBCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 79 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Developing role
79 avg pct · FPAA +3.3
Snaps76 pct vs RB
497
31.1 / g
↓Opp / snap 42%
Opportunities80 pct vs RB
208
13.0 / g
↓Touch rate 98%
Touches81 pct vs RB
204
12.8 / g
↓Yds / touch 4.3
Total Yards77 pct vs RB
874
54.6 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
176
11.0 / g
→
Actual
180
11.2 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+3.3
+0.2 / g
Charbonnet converts opportunity at about the expected rate — production is volume-built, with a slim +3.3-pt efficiency cushion.
RBSEA16 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Volume-driven
Opp / G
13.0
Snaps / G
31
Exp Pts / G
11.0
FPAA / G
+0.2
Role trend · opp / wk→ steady
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
1
2
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes16 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
5.6
28th vs RB
Median
11.0
11.3 avg
Ceiling
17.4
24th vs RB
low 1.0high 26.2
Balanced profile
Middle-of-pack volatility for a RB — 6% boom / 31% bust weeks, steadier than 35% of peers.
RBSEA27 RB pool
Steadiness vs RBBalanced
Steadier than 35% of qualified RBs
Boom rate
6%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
31%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
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