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Zay Flowers
WRBAL#4Active
69 · 183 lb · Age 25 · 4yr exp · Boston College
PPG
14.3
17 GP
TGT/G
6.9
28.9% share
REC/YD
86/1,211
FPTS
243.3
season
2025 Season Stats
PPR scoring| Season | GP | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | TGT% | YPRR | PPG | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 118 | 86 | 1,211 | 5 | 28.9% | 2.52 | 14.3 | 243.3 |
Advanced Metrics
YPRR
2.52
TGT%
28.9%
EPA/TGT
+0.39
TGT
118
Age CurvePeak age 26
WR · historical aging curveproduction index vs age
PRODUCTION INDEX
Flowers is producing below the age-26 WR baseline and sits at the historical WR peak.
WRBALAge 25.9
Career phase
Peak window
Maximum expected output — the strongest age-adjusted window for the position.
Current age
25.9
Peak age · WR
26
At peak age
0
Output vs avg
−18 idx
Lifecycle map · WRCurrent Age 26
Draft-eligible
Breakout
Peak
Prime decline
Veteran
Tail
1823283338
Aging curves are historical positional averages, not individual projections. Player points reflect real season production normalized to a positional index. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Touch & Opportunity FunnelVolume 94 pct
Opportunity funneltick = positional percentile
Elite volume, elite efficiency
94 avg pct · FPAA +46.1
Snaps89 pct vs WR
878
51.6 / g
↓Tgt / snap 13%
Targets93 pct vs WR
118
6.9 / g
↓Catch rate 73%
Receptions97 pct vs WR
86
5.1 / g
↓Yds / rec 14.1
Receiving Yards98 pct vs WR
1,211
71.2 / g
Efficiency verdict · actual vs expected
Expected
203
12.0 / g
Actual
249
14.7 / g
FPAA · act − exp
+46.1
+2.7 / g
Flowers turns volume into output above what the opportunity alone predicts — efficiency is adding +46.1 pts (≈ +2.7/g) over expectation.
WRBAL17 G
Opportunity vs efficiency
EFFICIENCYCOMPLETEAT-RISKVOLUME
← LOW OPPHIGH OPP →
Complete
Tgt / G
6.9
Snaps / G
52
Exp Pts / G
12.0
FPAA / G
+2.7
Role trend · opp / wk↓ cooling
Weekly trace · opportunity vs actual pts
Bars — opportunityLine — actual pts
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2
3
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Opportunity and expected points are derived from real weekly play data (snaps, targets, touches). Expected points model rush and receiving volume — not a projection. Percentiles are positional ranks, not composite ratings. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Range of Outcomes17 G · weekly PPR
Expected weekly rangep20 – p80 of game scores
Floor
11.3
91st vs WR
Median
13.0
14.3 avg
Ceiling
19.6
60th vs WR
low 0.6high 29.8
Steady floor play
Steadier than 71% of WRs — a dependable weekly floor (12% bust weeks). Start-and-forget, strong in cash.
WRBAL39 WR pool
Steadiness vs WRSteady
Steadier than 71% of qualified WRs
Boom rate
24%
weeks ≥ 20
Bust rate
12%
weeks ≤ 8
Weekly distribution · PPR by game
boom ≥ 20bust ≤ 8
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5
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15
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17
Floor / median / ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentiles of the player's real weekly PPR scores (2025, ≥12 games). Percentiles and steadiness are ranks within the position. Boom/bust use position-standard weekly thresholds. Research only — not investment or wagering advice.
Full Analysis
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Matchup Grade
Opponent-specific coverage matchup grades and historical splits.
Injury History
Full injury timeline, body-part breakdown, and return patterns.
Dynasty Value
Dynasty Value score, buy/sell signal, and long-term outlook.
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